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Prediction market on manifold. Graduation market: https://manifold.markets/SophiaLaird/will-i-successfully-graduate-colleg?r=U29waGlhTGFpcmQ I will inform people roughly how well I do each quarter. Basically: I am currently getting honor society emails due to good grades (over 3.5) I am not especially confident about this quarter’s grades (I’m having some problems with my Linear Algebra teacher, and my Physics teacher is legit expecting everyone to get half points on the tests) I have 2 quarters left to go, with non-light workloads (but thankfully I can do more “free space” classes to boost things) Obviously, I won’t graduate Cum Laude if I don’t graduate at all; If I don’t graduate on time but summer classes inexplicably result in a Cum Laude graduation, then that’s the only case where this market resolves yes and linked market no. Otherwise, I’ll resolve this market at the same time as the other one.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 9/30/2026.