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Prediction market on manifold. In early 2027, I will play Minecraft for an hour with a friend over Discord, on a new server. I will attempt to do the same with an AI using the best publicly available scaffolding, such that I can speak in real time with an AI who is simultaneously controlling a Minecraft Agent. In particular, my conversation should have a causal effect on how the Agent is controlled. This market resolves YES if I find my hourlong session with the AI at least 50% as enjoyable, entertaining, and interesting as the one with my friend, judged subjectively. I will make my determination based both on in-game events as well as the quality of conversation.
24h Volume: $1. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2027.