Will I have a generally favorable opinion of Elon Musk on June 1, 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. I had a positive opinion of Musk until around 2020, and saw him as a mixed figure for another few years (pushing progress in rocketry but increasingly getting right-wing culture war brainrot). Probably saw him as net negative by 2023, and almost irredeemably bad when he dismantled PEPFAR/USAID. However, I don't tend to hold grudges, and he turned against Trump yesterday and seems to be returning his focus to rockets/solar power and moderate politics. A year from now, will I have a mostly positive opinion of him? I will not trade on this market. Update 2025-06-06 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): In response to a question about forming a positive opinion if Elon Musk does not atone for the USAID issue but continues SpaceX progress, the creator specified that for a positive opinion: More than "business as usual" with existing ventures (like SpaceX progress) would be required. He would have to launch a major new positive project. It would also help if he were less "crazy" on Twitter.

24h Volume: $5. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/2/2026.