Will I bet at least 5 mana each day on Aella's 2027 baby market till its conclusion?
Prediction market on manifold. https://manifold.markets/Aella/will-i-have-a-baby-by-the-end-of-20-jekyn2yui2 This market resolves NO if I miss a day (either losing my streak of betting on another market instead and not on Aella's 2027 baby market before next streak day starts). Else, YES if Aella has a baby at any stage of production without her or her surrogate becoming unpregnant before Jan 1, 2028, 23:59 PST. Else, YES on Jan 1, 2028, 23:59 PST. Since Apr 27 2025, I broke my streak on: Jun 25 (restored: Jun 30) Jul 8 (restored: Jul 8) Jul 16 (restored: Jul 17) Jul 18 (restored: Jul 19) Aug 6 (restored: Aug 6) Aug 7 (restored: Aug 8) Aug 8 (restored: Aug 10) Aug 19 (restored: Aug 19) As of today, Dec 9 2025, my streak remains unbroken for 110 days. My second-longest unbroken streak (Apr 27 - Jun 25) was 59 days.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2028.