Will I regret taking a job at openai as a coder after graduating?
Prediction market on manifold. If AI ends up being very important, it would be interesting to work at a company close to the center of it. On the other hand, if I specialize in being a coder and that skill loses value, I may regret that. (I am a senior. I have offers to work for other non-big-name companies in non-coding engineering roles, or I may start a startup. The openai offer would pay the most though.) This will be judged by whether I subjectively regret it, i.e. think that it would have been a better decision for me to do something else instead. It will resolve on 12/31 2026, after I have been working there for about half a year. If I do not start work there, it will resolve to n/a by the time I otherwise would have started (summer). Update 2026-01-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Earnings are not a primary factor in determining regret. The creator would likely regret the job if they made a lot of money but felt pigeonholed or didn't learn, even with high new grad compensation. Update 2026-01-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator will be working as a software engineer, not in a research role. Update 2026-01-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator would regret taking the job if they came to believe that OpenAI is endangering humanity, even though they don't currently believe this and think it's unlikely they would believe it by the resolution date (unless they learned something nonpublic).
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.