Will 50% of all new car sales in the United States be electric by 2030?

Prediction market on manifold. https://www.forbes.com/sites/rinatorchinsky/2023/10/28/best-and-worst-states-to-buy-an-electric-vehicle/?sh=7c69dc351e03 [link preview]"The Biden administration is shooting for 50% of all new car sales to be electric vehicles by 2030." Have to do some thinking, but my current perogrative is that we'll need more than a single month of 50% for the question to resolve "Yes." If for two consecutive quarters before 2030 we have > 50% this question will resolve yes. "if the last month of 2029 is >50% and that trend continues into 2030, the the question will also resolve "Yes." Update: This market will remain with 2030 as the deadline. There are just too many positions to change.

Liquidity: $1,015. Resolves: 1/7/2030.