[ACX 2026] Will SpaceX successfully refuel a Starship in orbit during 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41142) Resolves according to Metaculus resolution. Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if SpaceX successfully transfers at least 1 metric ton of propellant from one Starship to another while both are in Earth orbit during 2026.

Liquidity: $5,100. Resolves: 12/31/2026.