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What will the prevailing sentiment be about Rapamycin as a longevity drug in 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. I'll post a proposed resolution here for discussion at least one week before resolving. May resolve to a mixture of up to two different choices in borderline cases. If there's any substantial disagreement, I'll ask a popular LLM-style chatbot to select a resolution based on the title of the market, the choices, and the text of the ten first Google News results for "rapamycin for longevity".

Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 7/2/2028.

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