How many videos will Species | Documenting AGI publish in 2026?
Prediction market on manifold. Hi! I'm Drew. I run the Species Youtube channel - making high-effort documentaries on AI risk. My current goal is to publish one video every week this year, but historically I've only been able to put out a video every two weeks :) Currently, we average 1m+ views per video! So it's helpful accountability if there's a market tied to how many videos we publish. Resolution criteria: Resolves to: The number of public videos on the Species YouTube main channel with a publish date in 2026, as displayed on the channel page on January 1, 2027. What counts: Videos 5 minutes or longer in duration Compilations or re-edits of past content count as new videos if published as a distinct new upload (e.g. a 3 hour long compilation with every AI takeover scenario we've done) What does NOT count: Shorts (under 5 minutes) Videos on other channels, including collaborations where Drew appears elsewhere Unlisted or private videos Videos completed in 2026 but published in 2027 Verification: Public YT channel page on January 1, 2027.
Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.