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Will an inconsistency in the Calculus of Inductive Constructions be found before 2050?

Prediction market on manifold. The Calculus of Inductive Constructions is the formal system underlying the Coq proof assistant (see https://coq.github.io/doc/v8.9/refman/language/cic.html). This will resolve to YES if a proof of a contradiction is published in a peer-reviewed scientific conference or journal on computer proof assistants or a similar area, such as Logic in Computer Science, or if a majority vote of at least 5 researchers in the field of computer proof assistants agree that such a result published elsewhere is correct, before the start of 2050. Otherwise, this will resolve to NO at the start of 2050.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2049.

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