Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]

Prediction market on manifold. Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040. All remaining will resolve No at that time. If recognition is granted and then later withdrawn, the Yes resolution will remain. In the last few years, multiple nations have normalized relations with Israel, such as Morocco, UAE, and Kosovo. Will this trend pick up again, or will the recent destruction in Palestine cause a long diplomatic winter? If any states break preexisting relations with Israel, they can be added by me. If recognition is ambiguous, each entry will resolve based on the removal of a state from the color-coded categories on this Wikipedia list: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/International_recognition_of_Israel#List_by_country [image]

Liquidity: $1,945.25. Resolves: 1/1/2041.