Will Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) exceed 270 million tonnes on May 31, 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. This market tracks Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing). Measurement date: May 31, 2026 Resolution: YES if: Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) ≥ 270 million tonnes on 2026-05-31 NO if: Global nickel ore production (15-month trailing) < 270 million tonnes on 2026-05-31 Indonesian Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources reports, Roskill supply chain studies Indonesia reduced its 2026 RKAB quota to 250-260 million tonnes, potentially removing up to 7-8% of expected global nickel ore supply this year. Rationale: Indonesia's cut on the mining work-plan quota reduces global nickel supply, affecting the raw ore availability for smelters, and tightening the market. Source: Article

Liquidity: $100. Resolves: 5/31/2026.