Will BRICS have a new member join or current member leave first?

Prediction market on manifold. resolves current member leaves first if a member of BRICS is no longer a member for any reason, before a new member joins. resolves new member joins if BRICS has a new member before a current member leaves. this is for full members. members as of market creation: Brasil, Russia, India, China, South Africa, Egypt, United Arab Emirates, Ethiopia, Indonesia, and Iran resolves according to wikipedia and major media consensus. saudi arabia is not currently considered a member

Liquidity: $200. Resolves: 12/11/2028.