How much will I donate to charity as a result of Manifold bribes?
Prediction market on manifold. Currently you can buy tickets to direct Manifold’s charity pool at a rate that comes out to around one dollar per 1100 mana. If you want to donate your hard-won mana to charity, that’s good but it’s not a great price. If you send me a minimum of M1000 I will, in thanks, donate some amount to your choice of charity (with proof) at a rate of one dollar per 250 mana. The charity must be recommended on GiveWell or GWWC, or else be approved by me. I probably won’t reject any charities unless they’re obviously money laundering schemes. I will cover any processing fees up to 10% of the donation, which won’t be tracked as part of this market. I have a soft cap of $5000 to be donated this way. I already donate some amount to charity each year but I pledge that this program will not impact the amount I donate otherwise. Whatever I don’t donate from this pool will probably go towards buying a car (non-electric in case that changes your calculus). This market will resolve to the total amount of money I end up donating by the end of the year. If someone negotiates a better (or worse) rate, then I’ll use the dollar amount I end up donating. If the mana purchase rate or economy changes significantly I will likely adjust the exchange rate in response. If a mod or admin asks me to stop this, I’ll cease and resolve this market N/A. I may also cancel this market based on my financial situation. Donations 01-26: @Eliza M$12,500 ($50 USD) to a matching pool - filled! 01-26: @realDonaldTrump M$1000 ($4 USD) (matched 1:1 by Eliza, becomes $8 USD) to Against Malaria Foundation - sent 01-26: @Bayesian M$11,500 ($46 USD) (matched 1:1 by Eliza, becomes $92 USD) to EA Long-Term Future Fund - sent 01-26: @No_uh M$1000 ($4 USD) to GiveWell Top Charities Fund - sent 01-26: @TheAllMemeingEye M$70,000 ($280 USD) to Helen Keller International Vitamin A Supplementation Program, Shrimp Welfare Project, Center on Long-Term Risk, and Rethink Priorities - pending 01-27: @AlexanderTheGreater M$12,500 ($50 USD) to GiveWell Top Charities Fund - sent 01-27: @puffymist M$62,500 ($250 USD) to Balsa Research - sent 01-28: @danielytRg M$1000 ($4 USD) to Against Malaria Foundation - sent 01-30: @100Anonymous M250 ($1 USD) to Humane League - pending additional contributions Total sent: $408 USD Total pending: $281 USD
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.