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Prediction market on manifold. Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China Resolves No otherwise Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan "Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force. If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes
Liquidity: $2,140. Resolves: 12/31/2030.