If China invades Taiwan will there be direct military involvement from the US by EOY 2030
Prediction market on manifold. Resolves Yes if US directly uses it's military force against China Resolves No otherwise Resolves N/A if by close date China has not invaded Taiwan "Invasion" is any attempt to establish a ground presence on the island of Taiwan with military force. If China attempted a landing on Taiwan but was entirely thwarted by a US attack this would still resolve Yes
Liquidity: $2,140. Resolves: 12/31/2030.