Bitcoin in USD on random day in 2026, resolves to first 2 leading digits as PROB
Prediction market on manifold. The market resolves to the first two leading digits of Bitcoin's USD price on a randomly selected day in 2026, expressed as a probability (PROB). For example, if Bitcoin trades at $87,432 on the selected date, the market resolves to 87. If Bitcoin trades at $5,234, the market resolves to 52. Resolution will be determined using coinmarketcap's high price at https://coinmarketcap.com/currencies/bitcoin/historical-data/ (or an alternative data source, if this is no longer available) on the randomly chosen date. The date will be chosen by drawing a random number between 1 and 365 after market close.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.