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Prediction market on manifold. Background Sean "Diddy" Combs is currently facing federal investigations into allegations of sex trafficking, prostitution, and racketeering conspiracy. While Donald Trump has previously pardoned hip-hop artists like Lil Wayne and Kodak Black during his presidency, the circumstances surrounding Diddy's case are notably different. Context Diddy has been publicly critical of Trump in the past and opposed his presidency Gene Deal, Diddy's former bodyguard, has indicated that Trump was displeased with Diddy's opposition The serious nature of the allegations against Diddy differs from previous Trump pardons in the music industry Trump would need to win the 2024 presidential election to have pardon power Resolution Criteria This market will resolve to YES if Donald Trump issues a presidential pardon to Sean "Diddy" Combs for any federal charges by January 20, 2029 (the end of the next presidential term). It will resolve to NO if: Trump does not become president Trump becomes president but does not pardon Diddy Diddy is not charged with federal crimes Things to Consider The severity and nature of any formal charges that may be filed The outcome of the 2024 presidential election Trump's historical pattern of pardons and personal relationships The ongoing federal investigation's findings and timeline
Liquidity: $828. Resolves: 1/22/2029.