Will George R.R. Martin die before delivering the final book in the “A Song of Ice and Fire” series?
Prediction market on manifold. Final entry in main book series - does not include short stories, Simarillion style additional content, etc. Does not count if partially completed and finished by another author Update 2025-01-01 (PST): - Resolution Deadline Extended: The deadline for resolving the market has been extended by 12 months. (AI summary of creator comment)
Liquidity: $1,312.5. Resolves: 12/31/2026.