Text diffusion models will hit the mainstream in 2026

Prediction market on manifold. This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026 It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors. If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/12/2027.