Will Bryan Johnson die with age 10+ years greater than the life expectancy for the time of his death?

Prediction market on manifold. Background Bryan Johnson, a 47-year-old tech entrepreneur, has gained attention for his extreme anti-aging regimen called Blueprint. He reportedly spends $2 million annually on various treatments and interventions aimed at extending his lifespan, including a strict diet, exercise routine, and numerous supplements. Johnson claims his biological measurements show signs of age reversal, though these claims are disputed by some medical professionals. The current U.S. life expectancy is approximately 76.4 years, though this figure will likely change by the time of Johnson's death. Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if: Bryan Johnson dies at an age that is at least 10 years greater than the life expectancy reported by the CDC or WHO (whichever is higher) for the year of his death for the USA. For example, if Johnson dies in 2060 when life expectancy is 80, he would need to be at least 90 years old for this market to resolve YES This market will resolve NO if: Johnson dies at an age less than 10 years above the life expectancy at time of death This includes death by any cause (natural, accidental, etc.) Considerations Life expectancy is likely to increase over time due to medical advances Johnson's extreme anti-aging protocols are experimental and their long-term effects are unknown Some medical professionals have expressed concerns about potential negative interactions between his numerous interventions The market resolution will be based on official life expectancy statistics at time of death, not current life expectancy

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2031.