Will any prominent Notkilleveryoneists switch sides to e/acc after learning more about machine learning R&D?

Prediction market on manifold. It has been claimed that Eliezer Yudkowsky and others are unqualified to comment on AI risk, because they do not have a firm enough grasp of the state of the art in AI research at a detailed level. Will any of them gain such an understanding, and do a 180 degree turn and become effective accelerationists as a result?

Liquidity: $130. Resolves: 4/9/2028.