Will AI be regularly used to diagnose complex diseases by 2028?

Prediction market on manifold. Question resolves to YES if, by January 1st 2028, the majority of medical practitioners in the US use an AI technology to diagnose patients who present with complex symptoms, defined here as a collection of medical complaints resulting in a diagnosis that takes an average of at least 6 months since symptom onset to be diagnosed (at the time of writing, January 2024.) If the majority of US medical practitioners do not use an AI diagnostic technology, or the technology is only used to diagnose simple diseases (average time of diagnosis from symptom onset is less than 6 months) by 1/1/2028, then the question will resolve to NO.

24h Volume: $2.79. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 7/2/2026.