USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, financial collapse, or mega-down in 2026
Prediction market on manifold. Any of these things happen in the time interval and region in the title: A constitutional amendment is passed and adopted There is an emergency presidential succession. IE vp or someone else suddenly becomes president outside of the normal schedule A nuclear weapon explodes in the USA of at least 50 kilotons A disaster strikes killing at least 10k people suddenly (within 24h). Quakes, volcanoes etc. This includes both intentional and accidental manmade disasters as well as natural ones. An attack by a terrorist or nation or individual kills at least 3k people in the usa The inflation rate is greater than 100% annualized for at least a month The US stock market is closed for at least 3 days consecutive which would normally be operating Any of x.com, facebook, google, amazon is "down" or nonfunctional for at least 48 hours over the entire nation (>95% of the population) (can't post on x, can't search on goog, can't buy things on amazon)
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2027.