Will I have easy access to a long-distance self-driving car by the end of 2028?
Prediction market on manifold. I'd love to have a car where I'm able to program in a destination that's a few hundred miles away and let my car drive itself there while I work on my laptop, read a book, or go to sleep. In order for this to occur, self-driving technology needs to get to the point where I actually trust it to not kill me without supervision. (i.e. level 4 autonomy.) If it's able to safely handle highway driving but not city driving, that's ok; highway driving is what takes the majority of the trip time, and I can take over once we get into the city. It also needs to be cheap enough that I believe it to be worth it. I live in a rural area, but I work remotely, so I don't travel that much. At present I'd only consider a purchase at <$40k. I'd also accept the ability to rent one, which I think would start to be worth it for me at around $300 a day or below, assuming it's able to drive itself out to my house. I do drive in the snow/rain/night a fair amount, so if it can't handle those, that would reduce the amount it's worth to me. There will be no AI clarifications added to this market's description.
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2029.