US public opinion, 2026: Worse outcomes for Black people, mainly from discrimination?

Prediction market on manifold. The General Social Survey (GSS) routinely asks Americans the following question: On the average Black people have worse jobs, income, and housing than white people. Do you think these differences are . . . A. Mainly due to discrimination? In the 2026 survey, will the survey results show a majority of opinions answering "Yes"? (That is, more "Yes" answers than "No" answers, ignoring "Don't know" responses.) See this chart for results in prior years. I will not bet on this market. Update 2025-06-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The creator has clarified that this market will resolve based on the General Social Survey (GSS) results for all respondents. An earlier version of the market description incorrectly linked to a chart showing results for non-black respondents.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.