Will a human walk on Mars before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Prediction market on manifold. Walking on Mars as defined by societal consensus
Sueprconductor as defined by at the same conditions as the LK-99 market, but for any material. and/or general scientific community consensus
Market open until one happens
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2033.