Will a useful contact lens display be commercially available by 2030
Prediction market on manifold. A bunch of companies, most notably Mojo, are trying to build and sell AR contact lenses. Will these devices succeed? Resolution criteria: The device has to be purchasable by any consumer in the US, though if there's a wait-list this still resolved YES. The device must be "useful". This will be based on my judgment, but for an example of some disqualifying things: <10m battery life, so low res it can only display a clock, etc
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2031.