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Will we discover aliens before AGI?

Prediction market on manifold. Aliens = alien life that originates from or lives on another planet. MUST HAVE PROOF. AGI = Artificial General Intelligence, non-living intelligence created by us that equals or surpasses human intelligence in every respect. (Since human intelligence is not always at the same level, we're talking roughly equal here.)

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2100.

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