Does an AI disaster kill at least 10,000,000 people before 2029?

Prediction market on manifold. -"Does": the main cause must have been the AI, not external circumstance. -"an": must be a single event (we are not combining unrelated smaller disasters). -"AI": must be a system (or multiple systems) that relied on artificial intelligence for its decisions. -"disaster": the AI must've done something that most smart people would say is malicious, reckless, or poor judgement. Unless the AI was directly following orders by a human who we agree was authorized to give those orders, then that doesn't count. -"kill": they must have deceased, not merely been injured/poisoned/etc. -"at least 10,000,000": if the disaster causes ongoing deaths (such as by poisoning the atmosphere) then we will include the ongoing deaths, with the best available estimate. -"Before 2029": resolves No in 2029-Jan if the above hasn't happened, otherwise resolves Yes whenever there is a consensus that it happened. (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-accident-kill-at-least-1-9281cfc732fb)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-accident-kill-at-least-1-270615f49415)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-accident-kill-at-least-1-9bfa31c52c0f)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-accident-kill-at-least-1-16699bd37e14)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-accident-kill-at-least-1-afd5d78a5e42)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-accident-kill-at-least-1)(https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/does-an-ai-accident-kill-at-least-1-b0aef3f5f5ec)

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2029.