What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2?

Prediction market on manifold. 2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today. Purchase stalled bureaucratically means there is a purchase agreement in place but it is currently waiting for FCC or anti-trust lawsuits to go through. I asked ChatGPT what is the theoretical timeline once shareholders are onboard and he gives me: Optimistic (everything goes smoothly): ~9–12 months Base case (Second Request + remedies): ~12–18 months Adverse case (litigation): 2+ years or collapse Claude Sonnet 4.5 had something similar to say: Best case: 12 months with limited conditions. Realistic: 18-24 months. Worst case: Blocked entirely or abandoned after failed litigation.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 6/30/2027.