Will Applied Behavior Analysis be discredited by 2026

Prediction market on manifold. Applied Behavior Analysis (ABA) is a psychological intervention that is being increasingly applied to the management of autism. Based on my subjective judgment of the relevant Wikipedia page will ABA be discredited by midnight Dec. 31, 2026? As an example of discredited psychological intervention consider e.g. conversion therapy. I will not bet on this market.

Liquidity: $130. Resolves: 1/1/2027.