Will the JWST discover exoplanets with 'carbon-lite' atmospheres in the next 15 years?
Prediction market on manifold. Based on this article: https://www.space.com/james-webb-space-telescope-exoplanets-signs-of-life it is possible that this method can be used to identify exoplanets with liquid water (and the potential for life).
Liquidity: $130. Resolves: 1/24/2039.