If Reform wins next election, I have to show ID for Discord & Twitter full access at time of the election after that?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves N/A if Reform UK does not win the next UK general election (scheduled for 2029). Resolves YES if, by the election after that, I still have to show ID to get full access to Discord and Twitter; NO otherwise. Age verification by showing my face or by KYC also counts as this.

Liquidity: $100. Resolves: 1/1/2034.