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Prediction market on manifold. I bought my Manifest 2026 ticket (woohoo) (technically the all access ticket including LessOnline and Summercamp) There was an option for a LessWrong karma discount, but no option for a Manifold mana discount Will this be instituted, and will I be able to apply the discount to my already-purchased ticket? It counts as instituted if on less.online, manifest.is, or any other official Manifest / LessOnline / Summercamp website there is a public way to apply a Mana discount Or if there is a clear message on one of those sites, that you can contact the Manifest team, and they will apply the discount manually A retroactive discount means that I receive real money (not Mana, or cryptocurrency) If I have to go through a process of cancelling my existing ticket in order to re-purchase in order to get the mana discount that will count as a retroactive discount The spirit of the market is "will I end up paying less than the amount I have already paid, because of a mana discount" I will resolve this a) if the Manifest team confirm that one of the options is true or b) on December 31st 2026 with what is true by then
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.