At the beginning of 2035, what percentage of Manifold users will believe that an AI intelligence explosion is a significant concern before 2075?

Prediction market on manifold. If an intelligence explosion occurs, this market resolves N/A. Otherwise: Shortly after market close, I will post a Yes/No poll in this market's comments, in the Manifold discord, and/or in whatever other appropriate Manifold-related spaces exist at that time. It will ask: Do you believe that a rapid AI intelligence explosion poses a significant existential risk to humanity before 2075? This market resolves to the percentage of Yes votes in the poll, rounded to the nearest integer. The poll will be limited to one response per Manifold account, and the way everyone voted will be public. All markets for each year: 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030 2035 2040

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2035.