Will we see an increased premium put on siloed/private online socialization by the end of 2027?
Prediction market on manifold. Prediction #3 in my "Great Logging Off" market Meta-market: https://manifold.markets/LarsDoucet/how-many-of-my-predictions-in-marke-089c96830000?groupId=KgzUh68PEIltJSzCnmF2 Blog post: https://www.fortressofdoors.com/ai-markets-for-lemons-and-the-great-logging-off This resolves YES, if, by the end of 2027, in my sole opinion: There is a SIGNIFICANT movement of people from "open" social networks to private and semi-private spaces. E.g., less facebook and twitter and instagram, more discord (semi-private and/or siloed) and group chats (private). Offline socialization will be handled by a separate market. Dec 27, 12:14pm: Will we see an increased premium put on private online socialization by 2027? → Will we see an increased premium put on private online socialization by the end of 2027?
Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/1/2028.