What will the dominant social media protocol be at the end of 2028?
Prediction market on manifold. Dominance is defined as being the recommended industry standard or de facto standard---a majority of users. If ambiguous (e.g., no clear dominant protocol due to difficulty counting true users), this will resolve to N/A. Even if a centralized platform is still dominant (e.g., Facebook, Twitter), this will resolve to the most widely used decentralized protocol/industry standard. Protocol: A system of rules that allows two or more entities of a communications system to transmit information A social media protocol needs to: 1. support sharing of content by users; 2. support interaction with the content of other users; 3. have permanence/persistency. Counterexamples: RSS---no interaction. IRC and Matrix---not designed for async access with persistence.
Liquidity: $1,260. Resolves: 1/1/2029.