Will space industry completely collapse OR will global temperature increase so space travel is impossible before 2030?

Prediction market on manifold. (made this market for a specific person on discord who was claiming that) Specifically: will the space industry completely collapse OR will global temperature increase such that space travel is impossible before 2030? The collapse must be complete - 50% decrease in market cap might be called a collapse in other contexts, but here the collapse must be complete enough to effectively prevent space travel for something like a decade. Not including satellites already in space.

Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2030.