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2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Prediction market on kalshi. If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 12 and 14 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity: $10,900.18. Resolves: 2/1/2028.

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