2026 2026 Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Prediction market on kalshi. If the Democratic margin of victory in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives national popular vote is between 8 and 10 percentage points, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Liquidity: $15,427.77. Resolves: 2/1/2028.