Will the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Republican primary be between 3% and 6%?
Prediction market on kalshi. If the margin of victory for Ken Paxton in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Republican primary falls between 3% and 6%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolves: 3/3/2027.