Will the margin of victory for James Talarico in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary be between 15% and 18%?

Prediction market on kalshi. If the margin of victory for James Talarico in the first round of the 2026 Texas Senate Democratic primary falls between 15% and 18%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolves: 3/3/2027.