Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
Prediction market on kalshi. If the FRED T10Y2Y series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 2-Year Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 1.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolves: 12/31/2026.