Treasury spread 10Y-3M by Dec 31, 2026
Prediction market on kalshi. If the FRED T10Y3M series (10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Minus 3-Month Treasury Constant Maturity), measured in percent (not seasonally adjusted), on any daily observation dated between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026 (inclusive), is above 0.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolves: 12/31/2026.