Will the US government be shut down for at least 40 days between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026?

Prediction market on kalshi. If the duration of the first US federal government shutdown between Feb 7, 2026 and Dec 31, 2026 due to a lapse of appropriations is at least 40 days, then the market resolves to Yes.

Resolves: 1/1/2027.