Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.5% for the year ending in April 2026?
Prediction market on kalshi. If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy increases by more than 2.5% in the twelve months ending April 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
Resolves: 5/12/2026.