Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?

Prediction market on manifold. Average global land & ocean surface temperature, measured by NOAA [image]Update 2026-05-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If NOAA ranks 2026 as a tie for hottest year on record, the market will resolve 50/50.

24h Volume: $13.333. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 2/28/2027.