Above human scores on ARC-AGI-3 in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. Resolves to YES if at least one model scores at or above the human baseline, as evaluated by the creators of the benchmark, in 2026. Resolves to NO if this does not happen.

24h Volume: $1,111.373. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 12/31/2026.