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Prediction market on manifold. Falcon 9 Family includes Falcon heavy and Falcon 9. If by chance there are failures or intentional suborbital flights they do not count to the total. Number of launches must be more than to resolve yes. If they are equal it does not count as “more than” and would resolve to no.
24h Volume: $700. Liquidity: $1,000. Resolves: 1/2/2027.