Will LFP batteries account for more than 65% of global electric vehicle battery production (by GWh) in 2026?

Prediction market on manifold. This market resolves YES if lithium iron phosphate (LFP) batteries accounted for more than 65% of total global electric vehicle battery production by gigawatt-hours shipped in calendar year 2026. What is measured: LFP chemistry's share of global EV battery production (passenger cars and light commercial vehicles only, not stationary storage) for the full calendar year January–December 2026, measured by gigawatt-hours shipped. Annual data from SNE Research and Rho Motion is typically published in February of the following year; this market settles December 31, 2027, giving ample time for definitive 2026 figures to be available. YES if: Annual industry reports show LFP share at or above 65% of global EV battery GWh for 2026. NO if: LFP share is below 65% for 2026. Resolution sources (priority order): SNE Research global EV battery market share report (cited widely in industry press) Rho Motion global EV battery market report BloombergNEF Electric Vehicle Outlook — battery chemistry section Reuters, Bloomberg, or FT reporting citing annual LFP share figures from the above

Liquidity: $10,000. Resolves: 12/31/2027.